Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

Open

Before 2027

Selected outcome

India

12%

India · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Library of Congress (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

India
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$206 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢
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Argentina
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$379 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
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China
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$320 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 12¢
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European Union
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 11¢
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Indonesia
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 9¢
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Kenya
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
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Switzerland
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
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Taiwan
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$123 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 13¢
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United Kingdom
Will Trump make a new before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 11¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$24
Volume: ~$1,112
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 5,657 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Library of Congress (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Politics