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How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

Open

of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls

Selected outcome

At least 1

20%

At least 1 · 20%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 1

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,994 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 2

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$339 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 3

    Will the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$3,427
Liquidity
—
Open int.
8,370 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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