How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Above 4

50%

Above 4 · 50%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Above 4
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
50%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$3,245 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 53¢
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Above 10
Will above 10 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
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Above 11
Will above 11 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 12
Will above 12 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
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Above 3
Will above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,524 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 97¢
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Above 5
Will above 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$246 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 6
Will above 6 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 7
Will above 7 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
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Above 8
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
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Above 9
Will above 9 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$11
Volume: ~$5,064
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 6,010 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

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