Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Yes

80%

Yes · 80%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

Yes
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?
80%
Open · ~$41 24h · ~$4,084 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 83¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$41
Volume: ~$4,084
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 3,299 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

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