Will wages beat inflation in 2026?

Open

December 2026

Selected outcome

Above 0.0%

wide spread 11–92%

11%

Above 0.0% · 11%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 13, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

Above 0.0%

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Markets

Above 0.0%
Will U.S. real average hourly earnings growth (all private employees, YoY, seasonally adjusted) for December 2026 be above 0.0%?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 11–92%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 92¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$227
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 2,061 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Jan 13, 2027 ET
Resolution source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Economy