Selected outcome
Thinky
last
<1%
Thinky · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
46%
Open · $20 24h · $8,349 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 47¢
MetaWill Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
19%
Open · $5 24h · $6,164 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
GoogleWill Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $7,398 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 26¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $952 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 4.9¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $1,101 vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 7.4¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $940 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 3.9¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $947 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.1¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $973 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.2¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $990 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $913 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,183 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $886 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,232 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
ThinkyWill Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $726 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $704 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MistralWill Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $506 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $739 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $433 vol
last
Ask 1¢
TencentWill Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,503 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.9¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $504 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $799 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
OtherWill any other AI lab/company be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".