Selected outcome
Xiaomi
last
<1%
Xiaomi · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
52%
Open · $251 24h · $15k vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 55¢
MetaWill Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
22%
Open · $118 24h · $13k vol
wide spread 21–35%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 35¢
GoogleWill Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
14%
Open · $109 24h · $11k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $10 24h · $1,923 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $10 24h · $3,677 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 0.9¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $10 24h · $1,887 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $10 24h · $1,715 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $100 24h · $1,774 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
BaiduWill Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,448 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,308 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,549 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $10 24h · $1,865 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,382 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
ThinkyWill Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,462 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $476 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MistralWill Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $628 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
AmazonWill Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $525 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $789 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
TencentWill Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,330 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
StepFunWill StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $523 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $918 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Company AWill Company A be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other AI lab/company be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".