#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Openone winner

Selected outcome

Anthropic

20%

Anthropic · 20%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

Anthropic
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
20%
Open · $9 24h · $6,010 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 22¢
Open full market view →
Meta
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
35%
Open · $478 24h · $6,526 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 37¢
Open full market view →
Google
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $6,989 vol
Bid 16.6¢ · Ask 17¢
Open full market view →
Moonshot
Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $692 vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 7.4¢
Open full market view →
OpenAI
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $2,093 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢
Open full market view →
Alibaba
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $249 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.8¢
Open full market view →
SpaceXAI
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $250 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1¢
Open full market view →
Z.ai
Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $253 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 12.3¢
Open full market view →
Baidu
Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $226 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5.8¢
Open full market view →
Xiaomi
Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $224 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 5.9¢
Open full market view →
DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $253 vol
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 9.9¢
Open full market view →
ByteDance
Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $267 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 7.7¢
Open full market view →
MiniMax
Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $230 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Open full market view →
Thinky
Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $270 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.9¢
Open full market view →
Meituan
Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $355 vol
wide spread 1–14%
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 13.5¢
Open full market view →
Mistral
Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $249 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 7.6¢
Open full market view →
Amazon
Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $657 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Open full market view →
Nvidia
Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $314 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 10.6¢
Open full market view →
Tencent
Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $292 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 7.6¢
Open full market view →
StepFun
Will StepFun be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $253 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 12.1¢
Open full market view →
Microsoft
Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $253 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 6.2¢
Open full market view →
Company A
Will Company A be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company B
Will Company B be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company C
Will Company C be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company D
Will Company D be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company E
Will Company E be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company F
Will Company F be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company G
Will Company G be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company H
Will Company H be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company I
Will Company I be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company J
Will Company J be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company K
Will Company K be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company L
Will Company L be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Company M
Will Company M be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →
Other
Will any other company be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: $486
Volume: $27k
Liquidity: $10k
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Tech

View on Polymarket