Selected outcome
December 31
Yes
December 31 · Yes
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
October 31Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $12k 24h · $15k vol
November 30Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $150 24h · $2,141 vol
December 31Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $459 24h · $5,526 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.