Selected outcome
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
<100BWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $178k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- 100–200B
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $89k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- 200–300B
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $32k vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 300–400B
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $55 24h · $84k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- 400–600B
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $33k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.5¢
- 600B+
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
95%
Open · $80 24h · $63k vol
Bid 94.2¢ · Ask 96.1¢
- No IPO by December 31, 2027
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
4%
Open · $97 24h · $48k vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 5.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.