Selected outcome
$7B
wide spread 4–20%
15%
$7B · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- $1B
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
59%
Open · $0 24h · $9,184 vol
wide spread 55–73%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 73¢
- $4B
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
30%
Open · $0 24h · $3,149 vol
wide spread 24–44%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 44¢
- $7B
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?
15%
Open · $0 24h · $967 vol
wide spread 4–20%
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2028 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".