Selected outcome
October 31
wide spread 32–51%
38%
October 31 · 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Sep 30, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
September 30AWS service disrupted by September 30?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $248 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 20¢
October 31AWS service disrupted by October 31?
38%
Open · $176 24h · $1,069 vol
wide spread 32–51%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 51¢
November 30AWS service disrupted by November 30?
49%
Open · $80 24h · $4,178 vol
wide spread 31–54%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 54¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Sep 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.” This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).