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Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

50+ bps decrease

18%

50+ bps decrease · 18%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 9, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps increase

    Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

    4%

    Open · $32 24h · $1,255 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.9¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

    3%

    Open · $32 24h · $1,602 vol

    Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • No Change

    Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?

    23%

    Open · $144 24h · $9,564 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 25¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

    46%

    Open · $421 24h · $8,542 vol

    Bid 45¢ · Ask 47¢

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  • 50+ bps decrease

    Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

    18%

    Open · $32 24h · $7,052 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$661
Volume
$28k
Liquidity
$8,338
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 9, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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