Selected outcome
50+ bps increase
last
<1%
50+ bps increase · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
50+ bps increaseWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $6,094 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
25 bps increaseWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
<1%
Open · $248 24h · $7,349 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.4¢
No ChangeWill the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
14%
Open · $1,371 24h · $23k vol
Bid 13.1¢ · Ask 14.6¢
25 bps decreaseWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
85%
Open · $445 24h · $26k vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 85¢
50+ bps decreaseWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
2%
Open · $266 24h · $11k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 4, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.