← Polymarket

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

50+ bps decrease

last

<1%

50+ bps decrease · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $17k vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 25 bps decrease

    Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $18k vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • No change

    No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    97%

    Open · $72 24h · $73k vol

    Bid 97.2¢ · Ask 97.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 25 bps increase

    Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    2%

    Open · $73 24h · $72k vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 50+ bps increase

    Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $205 24h · $74k vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$350
Volume
$255k
Liquidity
$63k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

View on Polymarket