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Bank of Mexico Decision in December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

25 bps decrease

12%

25 bps decrease · 12%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 17, 2026 ET
Resolution source
banxico.org.mx (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?

    4%

    Open · $91 24h · $283 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 7.9¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?

    12%

    Open · $212 24h · $610 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • No change

    No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?

    80%

    Open · $682 24h · $1,567 vol

    wide spread 68–80%

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?

    3%

    Open · $89 24h · $440 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • 50+ bps increase

    Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?

    4%

    Open · $121 24h · $272 vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 7.7¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$1,195
Volume
$3,172
Liquidity
$3,543
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 17, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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