Selected outcome
50+ bps increase
last
<1%
50+ bps increase · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 5, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- banxico.org.mx (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
50+ bps decreaseBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $381 24h · $4,412 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
25 bps decreaseBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
32%
Open · $4,700 24h · $18k vol
Bid 29.3¢ · Ask 34.7¢
No changeNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
65%
Open · $4,317 24h · $44k vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 67¢
25 bps increaseBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
1%
Open · $2,244 24h · $13k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.1¢
50+ bps increaseBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $999 24h · $5,801 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 5, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.