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Bank of Russia decision in December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

25 bps increase

5%

25 bps increase · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 18, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

    3%

    Open · $224 24h · $1,149 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

    26%

    Open · $520 24h · $6,537 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 27¢

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  • No change

    Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?

    67%

    Open · $116 24h · $5,344 vol

    Bid 65¢ · Ask 68¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

    5%

    Open · $76 24h · $844 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • 50+ bps increase

    Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $76 24h · $746 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.7¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,012
Volume
$15k
Liquidity
$11k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 18, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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