Selected outcome
March 31, 2027
70%
March 31, 2027 · 70%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
February 28, 2027Base iPhone 18 released by February 28, 2027?
11%
Open · $0 24h · $425 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢
- March 31, 2027
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027?
70%
Open · $4 24h · $530 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 75¢
- April 30, 2027
Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?
88%
Open · $0 24h · $2,689 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 90¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.