Selected outcome
Other
Other
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlibabaWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
31%
Open · $90 24h · $2,488 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 32¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $276 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
BaiduWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $135 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.1¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $494 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $2,150 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 23¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $463 vol
Bid 11.2¢ · Ask 12.7¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $722 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 4.9¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $218 vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 8.4¢
MeituanWill Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $135 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.2¢
TencentWill Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $181 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
StepFunWill StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $196 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 8.6¢
Company AWill Company A have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other company have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".