Selected outcome
MiniMax
2%
MiniMax · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AlibabaWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
9%
Open · $484 24h · $63k vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
14%
Open · $934 24h · $45k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
BaiduWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $323 24h · $12k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.4¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
6%
Open · $1,652 24h · $21k vol
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 6.9¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
67%
Open · $1,965 24h · $34k vol
Bid 64.4¢ · Ask 68.7¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $266 24h · $14k vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 2.8¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $529 24h · $14k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.7¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
2%
Open · $243 24h · $15k vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.4¢
MeituanWill Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $100 24h · $7,242 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
TencentWill Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
1%
Open · $230 24h · $11k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.3¢
StepFunWill StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $134 24h · $12k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
OtherWill any other company have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".