← Polymarket

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?

Openone winnerNo trades

Selected outcome

Up 3-7%

wide spread 6–72%

Up 3-7%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 2, 2026 ET
Resolution source
mempool.space (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Down >7%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down more than 7%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 2–72%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Down 3-7%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 3% to 7%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 4–71%

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • Down 0-3%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be down 0% to 3%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–72%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Up 0-3%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 0% to 3%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 2–72%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Up 3-7%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up 3% to 7%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 6–72%

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Up >7%

    Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728 be up more than 7%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–73%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$0
Liquidity
$323
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Nov 2, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment that occurs at the specified block height. Block 973,728 is the next difficulty retarget height and is currently expected to be reached on or around October 30, 2026 (ET). If the displayed percentage falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes". The difficulty adjustment is the percentage change in Bitcoin network difficulty that takes effect at the specified block height, as displayed in the "Change" column of the Adjustments table on the mempool.space Mining Dashboard. A positive percentage is an "up" adjustment and a negative percentage is a "down" adjustment. If mempool.space does not display the adjustment for the specified block height within 2 calendar days (ET) after that block height is reached, the adjustment percentage as shown by a consensus of credible block explorers will be used. If block 973,728 has not been reached by 11:59 PM ET on November 27, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. The resolution source for this market is the mempool.space Mining Dashboard at https://mempool.space/mining, specifically the "Change" column of the Adjustments table for the specified block height. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the difficulty adjustment percentage as displayed on mempool.space, or, where mempool.space does not display it as described above, the consensus of credible block explorers. Values from other sources will not otherwise be considered for the resolution of this market.

View on Polymarket