Selected outcome
Candidate A
Candidate A
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
Price
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Markets
Flavio BolsonaroWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
30%
Open · $1,799 24h · $47k vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢
LulaWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
70%
Open · $3,653 24h · $64k vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 71¢
Candidate AWill Candidate A win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Candidate B
Will Candidate B win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Candidate C
Will Candidate C win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Candidate D
Will Candidate D win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Candidate E
Will Candidate E win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will someone else win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under “Exterior”. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won abroad. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).