Selected outcome
Iotova <10%
5%
Iotova <10% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 7:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Iotova 40%+Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
8%
Open · $45k 24h · $130k vol
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 7.7¢
- Iotova 30-40%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?
5%
Open · $11k 24h · $26k vol
Bid 4.5¢ · Ask 5.1¢
- Iotova 20-30%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
41%
Open · $15k 24h · $28k vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 41¢
- Iotova 10-20%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?
35%
Open · $19k 24h · $27k vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 36¢
- Iotova <10%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
5%
Open · $15k 24h · $23k vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5.4¢
- Gyurov <10%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
<1%
Open · $8,681 24h · $15k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Gyurov 10-20%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?
<1%
Open · $4,678 24h · $13k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- Gyurov 20-30%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
5%
Open · $88k 24h · $217k vol
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 5.3¢
- Gyurov 30%+
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
3%
Open · $61k 24h · $77k vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 2.8¢
- Other
Will Another Candidate win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 7:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.