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Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

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Selected outcome

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

wide spread 2–15%

10%

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31? · 10%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$10
Volume
$119
Liquidity
$75
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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