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China Annual GDP Growth 2026

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Selected outcome

6.0-7.0%

<1%

6.0-7.0% · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 30, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

  • <1.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $68k vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 1.0–2.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $76k vol

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 2.0–3.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $47k vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 3.0–4.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $88k vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4.0–5.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

    97%

    Open · $30 24h · $245k vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.0–6.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $87k vol

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 2.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 6.0-7.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $91k vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • 7.0–8.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $65k vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 8.0–9.0%

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $55k vol

    last

    Ask 0.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • 9.0%+

    Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $118k vol

    last

    Ask 0.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$30
Volume
$941k
Liquidity
$110k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 30, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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