← Polymarket

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

5.5%+

5%

5.5%+ · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 31, 2027 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • <3.4%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

    1%

    Open · $177 24h · $572 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 3.4-3.7%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?

    1%

    Open · $177 24h · $310 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 3.7-4.0%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?

    3%

    Open · $197 24h · $400 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 5.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4.0-4.3%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

    14%

    Open · $261 24h · $479 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4.3-4.6%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

    52%

    Open · $807 24h · $1,013 vol

    Bid 49¢ · Ask 55¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4.6-4.9%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

    20%

    Open · $317 24h · $598 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • 4.9-5.2%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

    13%

    Open · $285 24h · $1,334 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.2-5.5%

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

    1%

    Open · $177 24h · $304 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.5%+

    Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?

    5%

    Open · $218 24h · $910 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$2,614
Volume
$5,921
Liquidity
$9,533
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 31, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

View on Polymarket