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EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

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EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

17%

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? · 17%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$7,343
Liquidity
$12k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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