Selected outcome
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
17%
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
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Markets

Open · $0 24h · $7,343 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.