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Fed Decision in January?

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Selected outcome

50+ bps decrease

1%

50+ bps decrease · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $17k 24h · $129k vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $5,460 24h · $104k vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.1¢

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  • No change

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

    61%

    Open · $9,857 24h · $174k vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

    38%

    Open · $8,643 24h · $220k vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 38¢

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  • 50+ bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $4,545 24h · $79k vol

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 1.4¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$46k
Volume
$705k
Liquidity
$685k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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