Selected outcome
Pause-Hike-Hike
20%
Pause-Hike-Hike · 20%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 27, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Hike-Pause-HikeWill the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $814 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.8¢
Hike-Pause-PauseWill the Fed Hike-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $945 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.4¢
Hike-Hike-HikeWill the Fed Hike-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
5%
Open · $149 24h · $1,157 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 6.7¢
Hike-Hike-PauseWill the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
10%
Open · $100 24h · $960 vol
Bid 9.5¢ · Ask 10.9¢
Pause-Pause-HikeWill the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
5%
Open · $11 24h · $666 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 8¢
Pause-Pause-PauseWill the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
8%
Open · $21 24h · $983 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
Pause-Hike-HikeWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
20%
Open · $681 24h · $15k vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Pause-Hike-PauseWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
55%
Open · $3,955 24h · $40k vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 56¢
OtherWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,564 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 3.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 27, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm