Selected outcome
Other
1%
Other · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Hike–Pause–HikeWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
70%
Open · $3,524 24h · $90k vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 71¢
Hike–Pause–PauseWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
18%
Open · $4,645 24h · $97k vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
Hike–Hike–HikeWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
9%
Open · $1,233 24h · $97k vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Hike–Hike–PauseWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
2%
Open · $1,428 24h · $56k vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 3¢
OtherWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
1%
Open · $384 24h · $25k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm