Selected outcome
Jordan Bardella
3%
Jordan Bardella · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Apr 18, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
Jordan BardellaWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $11k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 3.4¢
- Michel Barnier
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $1,085 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
- Valérie Pécresse
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,980 vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 4.1¢
- Élisabeth Borne
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $3,815 vol
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 7.1¢
- Yaël Braun-Pivet
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $1,436 vol
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- Jean Castex
Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,547 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 2.8¢
- Gérald Darmanin
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $1,812 vol
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- Sébastien Lecornu
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $7,819 vol
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 3.9¢
- François Bayrou
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
4%
Open · $50 24h · $2,651 vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Bernard Cazeneuve
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $2,493 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 22¢
- Carole Delga
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $2,259 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.6¢
- François Hollande
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
26%
Open · $0 24h · $3,379 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 28¢
- Manuel Bompard
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $3,644 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
- Mathilde Panot
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $20k vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 3.4¢
- Dominique de Villepin
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
54%
Open · $0 24h · $2,304 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 59¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Apr 18, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.