Selected outcome
December 31, 2027
40%
December 31, 2027 · 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
December 31, 2026Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
8%
Open · $5,470 24h · $2.3M vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
- October 31, 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
1%
Open · $1,237 24h · $159k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 1¢
- November 30, 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
3%
Open · $3,133 24h · $30k vol
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 3.3¢
- March 31, 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
8%
Open · $5,982 24h · $10k vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 8¢
- June 30, 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
30%
Open · $305 24h · $4,044 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 30¢
- December 31, 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
40%
Open · $390 24h · $9,141 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.