Selected outcome
0.5–1.0%
<1%
0.5–1.0% · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 0.5–1.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $18k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 1.0–1.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,533 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 1.5–2.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
2%
Open · $151 24h · $9,883 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 2.0–2.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
54%
Open · $53 24h · $21k vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 58¢
- >2.5%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
45%
Open · $55 24h · $25k vol
Bid 40.7¢ · Ask 48.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.