Selected outcome
December 31
84%
December 31 · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 7:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
October 31Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
19%
Open · $2,379 24h · $102k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
December 31Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
84%
Open · $2,055 24h · $86k vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 85¢
October 23Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
6%
Open · $4,421 24h · $76k vol
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 7.7¢
November 30Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
73%
Open · $1,257 24h · $1,257 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 74¢
November 15Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
44%
Open · $588 24h · $588 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 44¢
December 15Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?
78%
Open · $1,157 24h · $1,157 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 78¢
Resolved
October 9Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $27k vol
October 16Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $56k vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 7:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.