Selected outcome
60%+
9%
60%+ · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- agi.safe.ai (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
45%+Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
73%
Open · $1,838 24h · $41k vol
Bid 70.8¢ · Ask 75.2¢
- 50%+
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
44%
Open · $590 24h · $37k vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 45¢
- 55%+
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $16k vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
- 60%+
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $13k vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
- 65%+
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
5%
Open · $108 24h · $5,624 vol
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".