Selected outcome
70%+
8%
70%+ · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
55%+Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
74%
Open · $80 24h · $42k vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 77¢
- 60%+
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
31%
Open · $284 24h · $56k vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 33¢
- 65%+
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
10%
Open · $114 24h · $23k vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- 70%+
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $6,494 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".