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Highest temperature in Austin on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

76-77°F

<1%

76-77°F · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 75°F or below

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,646 24h · $1,781 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

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  • 76-77°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,526 24h · $2,053 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢

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  • 78-79°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 21?

    <1%

    Open · $1,626 24h · $1,910 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢

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  • 80-81°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $1,469 24h · $2,009 vol

    Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 0.8¢

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  • 82-83°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 21?

    22%

    Open · $2,502 24h · $3,565 vol

    Bid 20.5¢ · Ask 23.9¢

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  • 84-85°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 21?

    61%

    Open · $2,329 24h · $5,244 vol

    Bid 56¢ · Ask 66¢

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  • 86-87°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 21?

    14%

    Open · $3,258 24h · $7,583 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • 88-89°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $1,465 24h · $2,284 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.6¢

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  • 90-91°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $553 24h · $1,232 vol

    Ask 0.3¢

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  • 92-93°F

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $608 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 94°F or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $237 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$16k
Volume
$29k
Liquidity
$12k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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