Selected outcome
10°C or below
<1%
10°C or below · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
10°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C or below on October 21?
<1%
Open · $985 24h · $1,920 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
11°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $313 24h · $1,582 vol
Ask 0.1¢
12°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $1,134 24h · $1,600 vol
Ask 0.2¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,590 24h · $2,807 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,699 24h · $3,335 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $3,296 24h · $5,588 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.4¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $4,174 24h · $9,286 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21?
98%
Open · $4,212 24h · $9,509 vol
Bid 96.3¢ · Ask 99.8¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $2,747 24h · $5,315 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,870 24h · $3,364 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
20°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or higher on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,184 24h · $3,343 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.