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Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 20?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

15°C

1%

15°C · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 13°C or below

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $218 24h · $2,500 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢

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  • 14°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $202 24h · $1,858 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 15°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 20?

    1%

    Open · $222 24h · $1,745 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.1¢

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  • 16°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $110 24h · $1,461 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 17°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 20?

    1%

    Open · $240 24h · $5,821 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 18°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 20?

    95%

    Open · $500 24h · $5,861 vol

    Bid 91.1¢ · Ask 99.4¢

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  • 19°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 20?

    2%

    Open · $330 24h · $4,847 vol

    Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 2.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • 20°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,149 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 21°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $889 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 22°C

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $278 24h · $1,652 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • 23°C or higher

    Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 20?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,151 vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$2,101
Volume
$29k
Liquidity
$14k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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