Selected outcome
16°C
1%
16°C · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
13°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $93 24h · $93 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $95 24h · $95 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $93 24h · $99 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.7¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $168 24h · $168 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.7¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $124 24h · $133 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.3¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 22?
3%
Open · $245 24h · $245 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.2¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 22?
25%
Open · $2,457 24h · $2,567 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 27¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 22?
57%
Open · $1,049 24h · $1,418 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 22?
14%
Open · $314 24h · $342 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 22?
2%
Open · $300 24h · $300 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 2.1¢
23°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 22?
1%
Open · $343 24h · $343 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.