Selected outcome
68-69°F
8%
68-69°F · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
59°F or belowWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $115 24h · $115 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
60-61°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $115 24h · $115 vol
Ask 0.1¢
62-63°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $195 24h · $195 vol
Ask 0.1¢
64-65°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 22?
<1%
Open · $150 24h · $197 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
66-67°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 22?
1%
Open · $104 24h · $172 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.9¢
68-69°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 22?
8%
Open · $495 24h · $531 vol
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 9.3¢
70-71°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 22?
20%
Open · $3,203 24h · $3,293 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 21¢
72-73°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 22?
42%
Open · $2,227 24h · $2,307 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 43¢
74-75°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 22?
30%
Open · $1,624 24h · $1,711 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 31¢
76-77°FWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 22?
4%
Open · $773 24h · $922 vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 4.4¢
78°F or higherWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on October 22?
1%
Open · $96 24h · $210 vol
last
Ask 1.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.