Selected outcome
37°C
37°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
28°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 21?
<1%
Open · $926 24h · $1,138 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $6 24h · $114 vol
Ask 0.1¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $131 24h · $751 vol
Ask 0.1¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $125 24h · $787 vol
Ask 0.1¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $525 24h · $2,198 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $2,002 24h · $9,553 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.6¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $3,114 24h · $5,508 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1¢
35°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 21?
99%
Open · $2,763 24h · $6,578 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99.3¢
36°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $2,906 24h · $4,762 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
37°CWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $539 24h · $1,313 vol
Ask 0.1¢
38°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 21?
<1%
Open · $609 24h · $644 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.