Selected outcome
27°C
27°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
Price
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Markets
26°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,396 24h · $1,407 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
27°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $883 24h · $893 vol
Ask 0.1¢
28°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $711 24h · $777 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.5¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 22?
2%
Open · $3,578 24h · $3,769 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2.5¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?
25%
Open · $2,226 24h · $2,624 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?
55%
Open · $1,750 24h · $2,140 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 55¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?
18%
Open · $2,758 24h · $3,466 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 22?
3%
Open · $1,021 24h · $1,148 vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.9¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $523 24h · $551 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
35°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $156 24h · $156 vol
Ask 0.1¢
36°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on October 22?
No quote
Open · $152 24h · $152 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.