Selected outcome
36°C
1%
36°C · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
27°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on October 23?
No quote
Open · $50 24h · $50 vol
Ask 1¢
28°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?
1%
Open · $85 24h · $85 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.5¢
29°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?
6%
Open · $288 24h · $288 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 7.5¢
30°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?
11%
Open · $201 24h · $201 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 12¢
31°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?
41%
Open · $322 24h · $322 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 42¢
32°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?
39%
Open · $370 24h · $370 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 40¢
33°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 23?
9%
Open · $393 24h · $393 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 10¢
34°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 23?
1%
Open · $5 24h · $5 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.9¢
35°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 23?
1%
Open · $20 24h · $20 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 1.7¢
36°CWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on October 23?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.7¢
37°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on October 23?
No quote
Open · $115 24h · $115 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.