Selected outcome
21°C
<1%
21°C · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
15°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?
No quote
Open · $27k 24h · $37k vol
wide spread 62–82%
Bid 62.4¢ · Ask 81.5¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $984 24h · $1,835 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,097 24h · $1,197 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,003 24h · $1,298 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $1,357 24h · $2,491 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $3,104 24h · $4,536 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $5,547 24h · $7,028 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $5,182 24h · $6,784 vol
wide spread 20–36%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 36¢
23°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $3,692 24h · $4,612 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
24°CWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $620 24h · $883 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
25°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on October 21?
<1%
Open · $684 24h · $876 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.