Selected outcome
18°C
<1%
18°C · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
10°C or belowWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on October 22?
<1%
Open · $173 24h · $174 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
11°CWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $137 24h · $137 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
12°CWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,603 24h · $1,603 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.6¢
13°CWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $1,512 24h · $1,512 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 1.9¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 22?
30%
Open · $2,918 24h · $3,030 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 31¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?
56%
Open · $4,234 24h · $5,096 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 58¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?
11%
Open · $3,806 24h · $4,630 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,569 24h · $1,685 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.6¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $1,263 24h · $1,279 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $87 24h · $167 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
20°C or higherWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on October 22?
<1%
Open · $17 24h · $52 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.