Selected outcome
70-71°F
No
70-71°F · No
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
82°F or higherWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on October 20?
No quote
Open · $2,017 24h · $2,156 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Resolved
63°F or belowWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 63°F or below on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $92 24h · $359 vol
64-65°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $115 vol
66-67°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $0 24h · $165 vol
68-69°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $150 24h · $380 vol
70-71°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $103 24h · $361 vol
72-73°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $146 24h · $660 vol
74-75°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $1,025 24h · $3,030 vol
76-77°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $4,010 24h · $8,991 vol
78-79°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 20?
No
Settled · no · $3,595 24h · $8,190 vol
80-81°FWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 20?
Yes
Settled · yes · $3,530 24h · $5,725 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 20, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.