Selected outcome
14°C or below
14°C or below
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
14°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on October 21?
No quote
Open · $441 24h · $577 vol
Ask 0.1¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $665 24h · $1,033 vol
Ask 0.1¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $1,326 24h · $1,486 vol
Ask 0.1¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $2,779 24h · $3,669 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $5,293 24h · $10k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 0.9¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 21?
96%
Open · $2,892 24h · $3,816 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 97¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?
3%
Open · $3,890 24h · $4,857 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 5.2¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 21?
<1%
Open · $2,358 24h · $2,798 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $614 24h · $1,023 vol
Ask 0.3¢
23°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $43 24h · $137 vol
Ask 0.1¢
24°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $170 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.