Selected outcome
21°C
1%
21°C · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
13°C or belowWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $115 24h · $115 vol
Ask 0.1¢
14°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $26 24h · $26 vol
Ask 0.1¢
15°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $107 24h · $107 vol
Ask 1¢
16°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 22?
No quote
Open · $353 24h · $353 vol
Ask 0.9¢
17°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $440 24h · $507 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
18°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 22?
9%
Open · $959 24h · $1,073 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
19°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 22?
58%
Open · $1,651 24h · $1,718 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 60¢
20°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?
32%
Open · $1,346 24h · $1,545 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
21°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 22?
1%
Open · $768 24h · $768 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 0.9¢
22°CWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 22?
<1%
Open · $383 24h · $383 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
23°C or higherWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on October 22?
No quote
Open · $107 24h · $107 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.